US Stock Futures Dip As Apple, Amazon Earnings Loom: Analyst Warns Of ‘Perfectly Normal’ 5% Pullback This Month

Stocks appear to be entrenched in an August swoon and it remains to be seen if big tech earnings provide a boost.

As Fitch’s U.S. ratings downgrade overhang persists and earnings new flow turns negative, stock futures are pulling back yet again on Thursday. Traders may find caution a virtue as a few profile tech names, including Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), are scheduled to report their quarterly results. Treasury yields continue to spike, which decreases the appeal of tech stocks. A duo of service sector readings could give some clarity on the economic outlook.

Cues From Wednesday’s Trading:

Stocks plunged on Wednesday as risk aversion set in motion by Fitch’s downgrade of U.S.’s sovereign rating sent traders scurrying for cover. A private payroll report that showed strong job gains in the private sector did not help matters any further, as the number triggered worries concerning more Fed rate hikes.

The major averages opened sharply lower and continued to languish below the unchanged line. Unwinding some of their recent gains, the indices closed notably lower.

The S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite pulled back to their lowest since mid-July. The sell-off was led by communication services, technology, consumer discretionary, industrial and material stocks.

US Index Performance On Wednesday

Index Performance (+/-) Value
Nasdaq Composite -2.17% 13,973.45
S&P 500 -1.38% 4,513.39
Dow Industrials -0.98% 35,282.52
Russell 2000 -1.37% 1,966.83

Analyst Color:

The odds are increasing that stocks could finally take some type of a break, said Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick. The analyst sees a modest pullback of approximately 5% to be “perfectly normal,” given the S&P 500 closed higher for five consecutive months.

August, the analyst said, is a poor performer and trailed behind only September and December in the last 10 years.

Historically, when the S&P 500 Index was up more than 17.5% for the year ahead of August, the month has mostly seen negative returns, Detrick noted.

Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley’s Lisa Shalett said the Fed may not begin to cut rates any time soon, as the core inflation is still too hot for its liking.

“Consider rebalancing toward value-style equities or those with ‘growth at a reasonable price’ attributes,” she added.

Futures Today

Futures Performance On Thursday

Futures Performance (+/-)
Nasdaq 100 -0.27%
S&P 500 -0.18%
Dow -0.12%
R2K -0.25%

QQQ) declined 0.23% to $373.53, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Upcoming Economic Data:

S&P Global’s final service and composite purchasing managers’ indices for July are due at 9:45 a.m. EDT. The services PMI is expected to decline from 54.2 in June to 52.4 in July and the composite PMI may have dipped from 53.2 to 52.

The Institute of Supply Management will release its non-manufacturing PMI for July at 10 a.m. EDT. The non-manufacturing index, based on ISM’s survey, is expected to come in at 53 for July, down from 53.9 in June.

The Commerce Department is due to release its factory goods orders report for June at 10 a.m. EDT. Factory goods order growth may have accelerated from 0.3% month-over-month in May to 2.2% in June.

The Treasury will auction four- and eight-week bills at 11:30 a.m. EDT.

See also: What Are Futures Contracts

Stocks In Focus:

Commodities, Bonds, Other Global Equity Markets:

Crude oil futures fell 0.15% to $79.37 in early European session on Thursday after Wednesday’s 2.31% plunge.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 0.058 percentage points to 4.136%.

The major Asian markets ended mostly lower, dragged by the sell-off seen on Wall Street overnight. The Chinese market bucked the downtrend with moderate gains after service sector activity data came in stronger than expected. The Indonesian market also chalked up moderate gains.

The European markets were in the red in late-morning trading ahead of the Bank of England’s monetary policy meeting. The central bank is widely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points to 5.25%.

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