Seasonality is a crucial factor for fundamental analysis but is often ignored by technical analysts who trade on a shorter time frame. To add to that point, the only fundamental analysis used by most technical analysts is economic data releases because of the short-term increase in volatility.
Headlines This Past Week
NFP: The latest U.S. nonfarm payrolls report showed the unemployment rate ticked higher to 3.8% in August, reaching its highest level in more than a year. Economists had expected it to remain at 3.5%.
Last week's candle reached into a bearish imbalance, right at the 70% retracement of the current swing range and rejected. Bulls will need a close above that level for another upside push towards the swing high at 4638.
Hershey's stock experienced robust growth in 2021 and 2022, with increases of 26% and 20%.
The stock reached an all-time high of $276 in May 2023 before breaking through significant support levels.
The next critical support level to watch is the psychological level of $200.
Last week, Dell Technologies Inc (NYSE: DELL) had its best stock market day since its 2018 return to the public market after it reported its fiscal second quarter results.
As an investor, we need a process to compare alternative opportunities in effort to maximize the productivity of capital and seek the best risk-adjusted returns. Sure, time frame matters and some investors can be more patient than the next another, but concepts like relative strength, trend following and sector/industry market breadth can help.
Elevance Health's stock price has stagnated in 2023 while indices have rallied. This is despite strong earnings growth, strong expected growth in the future, and an attractive forward Price/Earnings ratio.