The S&P 500 index rose 8.9% in Nov, tech stocks (Nasdaq 100) up 10.8%. Bond yields dropped; metal commodities thrived as the Fed hinted at rate cuts in 2024. VIX at pre-pandemic low; Berkshire Hathaway relying on 'buy & hold' thesis.
Thursday’s trading session on Wall Street presents a mixed picture, characterized by notable fluctuations in major indices. While tech-heavy benchmarks like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are experiencing declines, blue-chip stocks and small caps are treading the path of marginal gains.
JP Morgan is bearish on the US stock market in 2024, predicting an 8% drop. They point to rich valuations, aging cycle, restrictive monetary policy, geopolitical risks, and rising debt costs as factors that could contribute to the decline.
The PCE inflation rate eased from 3.4% to 3% in Oct., returning to June 2023 levels. Traders expect a 77% likelihood of a rate cut by May 2024, with mixed market reactions.