Every week that goes by seems to show how the mega cap stocks that pushed the market higher in the first seven months of the year have now taken a back seat. Sectors like Financials and Energy have seen improved relative strength, while previous bellwether groups like semiconductors have begun to underperform.
The ARK Innovation Fund (ARCA: ARKK) has been going down for a while now. In fact, I’ve become so used to ARKK underperforming the S&P 500 that I almost did a double take last month when I recognized that the trend appeared to have changed.
I consider the goal of the trend follower to be threefold: identify trends, follow those trends, and anticipate when those trends may be exhausted.
Every day, every week, every month, I’m trying to do those three things in a consistent and repeatable fashion.
Exactly how long is this raging bull market driven by mega cap growth stocks supposed to last? I was taught that when price trends higher over time, there would often be brief countertrend pullbacks along the way. Apple Inc.
We’ve focused recently on the overextended nature of the small group of mega cap leadership names in 2023 and even identified three key charts to watch for a pullback in the technology sector.