- KeyBanc analyst Josh Beck ran a SoTP analysis across extensive cap FinTech and walked away the most positive on Block, Inc (NYSE:SQ) (reiterated Overweight, price target $90), PayPal Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) (reiterated Overweight, price target $115), and Fidelity National Information Services, Inc (NYSE:FIS) (reiterated Overweight, price target $115).
- He believes the value of core Square seller, branded Paypal checkout, and FIS bank software assets are relatively undemanding.
- At SQ, he ascribes a modest discount across four segments to support his $90 price target, with the majority of the value driven by the Square seller business at 10x EV/GP (versus Toast, Inc (NYSE: TOST) at 11x).
- For PYPL, he ascribes a mid-teens EV/GP multiple for Venmo and Braintree (versus ADYEN NV (OTC: ADYYF) at 18x), which implies a ~7.5x EV/GP multiple for key value driver branded PayPal.
- FIS stands out favorably among the processors, with its price target derived primarily from bank software based on multiples similar to public peers across segments.
- At a portfolio level, he remains selective within his FinTech sector coverage as he continues to see a narrow path of taming inflation without consumer and 2023 outlook disruption.
- For Visa Inc (NYSE:V) (reiterated Sectorweight, price target NA) and Mastercard Inc (NYSE:MA) (reiterated Sectorweight, price target NA), he looks for macro, regulatory, and new flows & services clarity despite the overall business model and x-border optimism.
- Price Action: SQ shares traded lower by 0.46% at $55.67 on the last check Friday.
Gas prices in the U.S. have reached their highest levels since 2008 as the Russian war in Ukraine is being felt by Americans at the pump.