Sell Hubris, Buy Humiliation
As ZeroHedge has pointed out, Bank of America’s Michael Hartnett has been one of Wall Street’s most accurate analysts recently.
Chart via ZeroHedge
Beware of Deceptive Stats
Sometimes, you've got to look beyond the rosy headline stats to get a clearer picture of what's happening pseudonymous macro account "MrBlonde" did just that in this Twitter thread on Sunday, showing that corporate earnings in the 2nd Quarter are actually worse than they look.
Not Buying The Bounce
Stocks ripped higher Tuesday, despite all the familiar macro headwinds remaining in place: record inflation, rising interest rates, pending profit downgrades, the ongoing Ukraine War, plus added tensions with China.
The Worst of Both Worlds
Earlier this week, TD Ameritrade's lead anchor, Oliver Renick, suggested that we were likely heading for a worst-case scenario: a recession with inflation still hot enough that the Fed would be compelled to continue to raise rates during it: